Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.862450e-05 0.000080 0.000092 0.000105 0.000120 0.000135 0.000153
2024-12-15 5.487535e-05 0.000070 0.000086 0.000107 0.000130 0.000155 0.000186
2024-12-22 4.385072e-05 0.000060 0.000080 0.000105 0.000135 0.000169 0.000211
2024-12-29 3.566261e-05 0.000053 0.000075 0.000103 0.000139 0.000181 0.000234
2025-01-05 2.903120e-05 0.000047 0.000070 0.000101 0.000141 0.000190 0.000253
2025-01-12 2.334209e-05 0.000041 0.000064 0.000098 0.000142 0.000197 0.000268
2025-01-19 1.847810e-05 0.000035 0.000059 0.000093 0.000140 0.000200 0.000280
2025-01-26 1.504476e-05 0.000031 0.000055 0.000091 0.000141 0.000206 0.000295
2025-02-02 1.378866e-05 0.000030 0.000055 0.000094 0.000150 0.000223 0.000324
2025-02-09 1.195552e-05 0.000028 0.000054 0.000095 0.000154 0.000234 0.000345
2025-02-16 1.182994e-05 0.000029 0.000057 0.000102 0.000169 0.000258 0.000383
2025-02-23 1.054938e-05 0.000027 0.000056 0.000104 0.000175 0.000271 0.000408
2025-03-02 8.260139e-06 0.000024 0.000053 0.000102 0.000177 0.000282 0.000433
2025-03-09 6.654421e-06 0.000022 0.000051 0.000102 0.000183 0.000298 0.000465
2025-03-16 5.055354e-06 0.000019 0.000048 0.000100 0.000186 0.000309 0.000490
2025-03-23 3.811499e-06 0.000017 0.000045 0.000099 0.000188 0.000320 0.000515
2025-03-30 2.783802e-06 0.000014 0.000042 0.000096 0.000189 0.000328 0.000538
2025-04-06 1.921203e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000093 0.000189 0.000334 0.000557
2025-04-13 1.238623e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000089 0.000186 0.000337 0.000571
2025-04-20 8.167617e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000086 0.000186 0.000344 0.000591
2025-04-27 6.889771e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000090 0.000197 0.000366 0.000635
2025-05-04 4.995608e-07 0.000007 0.000032 0.000090 0.000202 0.000381 0.000667
2025-05-11 4.944539e-07 0.000008 0.000034 0.000097 0.000219 0.000414 0.000727